Ten guarantee games will crush a team's SOS, but Mark Turgeon and staff deserve a ton of credit for recognizing and addressing that over the past couple of years, putting together stronger schedules that ranked 113th and 82nd overall. The strategy looks to have been a blend of more premier opponents, mid-majors and stronger low-majors replacing games against the dregs of Division I, and some good scheduling fortune, like Ohio State and Virginia replacing Northwestern in the ACC-B1G challenge. The 2015 non-conference schedule was released earlier this week, and this looks like the best one yet.
The three premier games are @ North Carolina, UConn (Jimmy V Classic), and Georgetown. All three should be improved over last year with North Carolina a national contender and the other two possibly contending for top 20 rankings. The Cancun Challenge field isn't sexy, but all three of Illinois State, TCU, and Rhode Island all ranked in the kenpom top 75. All told, only a home game against Marshall (11-21) is against a team with a sub-.500 record last year:
Team | W | L |
North Carolina | 26 | 12 |
Georgetown | 22 | 11 |
Uconn | 20 | 15 |
Illinois State | 22 | 13 |
TCU | 18 | 15 |
UMES | 18 | 15 |
Princeton | 16 | 14 |
Marshall | 11 | 21 |
St Francis (NY) | 23 | 12 |
Mount St. Mary's | 15 | 15 |
Cleveland State | 19 | 15 |
Rider | 21 | 12 |
231 | 170 | |
Overall SOS | 0.5760598504 |
That NC SOS would have been 16th in the country last year. Five of the twelve games being played away from home, including Princeton at Royal Farms Arena in Baltimore, help as well. The Terps look like a national power on the court next year, and their schedule looks to set them up to be seeded as such even if they lose a game or two more than expected.